Tools or Toys? On Specific Challenges for Modeling and the Epistemology of Models in the Social Sciences
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7.1.2 Conseqeunces for method centered research
The method centered approach can be understood as a research strategy
where a certain methodology is developed and investigated with regards
to its ability to answer different research questions. If a scientist
follows a method centered research approach then the method is fixed
and the problems are chosen or disposed of according to their suitability
for applying the method. The conclusions that can be drawn for method
centered research are symmetric to those for problem orientated research:
- Chose the right problems for your method, make sure that relevant
scientific problems for the method exist: The “right problems”
are problems where the success of the models can be tested. A common
danger of method-centered research is the irrelevancy of its results
(Shapiro 2005).
This happens, if problems are chosen only because they fit the method
and not because they are relevant problems in any other sense.
- Keep in mind that the model needs to be validated: Models
and simulations should be designed so that they can be validated. This
implies that free parameters should be avoided and measurement inaccuracies
should be taken into account. The burden of attuning models to measurement
restrictions clearly rests on the shoulders of the modelers and not
of the empirical researchers that develop measurement techniques, because
the possibilities for developing measurement are limited by the empirical
world.
- Validate your model, take failures seriously: Models need
validation. It is insufficient to base a model - as is often done (see
Hegselmann/Krause (2002)
for an example) - merely on “plausible assumptions” without
either systematically testing the validity of these assumptions nor
empirically validating the results. A model that has not been validated
does at best have the epistemological strength of a metaphor or a just-so
story. Admittedly, this may be sufficient in certain contexts.
Failures of validation ought to be taken serious: A model that fails
validation is a false model. A model that cannot even be validated
should be considered as not yet a scientific model in the same sense
as an unfalsiafiable theory is considered as unscientific.
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